Likely Televote Appeal
Likely Jury Appeal
I do concede that Spirit in the Sky is super catchy, yet it won from the pimp slot and received an awful lot of help from the producers.
Just like Danish MGP, this year’s Norwegian MGP was too bland to bother betting on or even watching. They eventually selected Keiino with the song Spirt in the Sky.
When it comes to the Nordics or some of the other mainstream selection shows, the jury score is often highlighted when considering how Eurovision’s juries might vote. In KEiiNO’s case it required a single top-mark from Israel to save their blushes, with every other international jury preferring other songs in the lineup. This is the sort of red flag gamblers seize upon, yet fans seem to dismiss it as a blip or indulge in some whataboutery.
Prior to the national final KEiiNO were the massive favourites to win owing to their PR campaign and obvious popularity amongst fans and the Norwegian public. Fairly obvious to anyone outside of the fan bubble was a paper-thin song that would be jury kryptonite. It also has one of the most bizarre middle-eights I can remember, with Fred-René indulging in some cultural joiking and sounding rather like Vic Reeves during his club singer routine. Nevertheless, I do concede that Spirit in the Sky is super catchy, yet it won from the pimp slot and received an awful lot of help from the producers in the form of playback assistance, canned-audience cheering and more than the permitted six persons on stage, as well as flag bearers in the audience. Returning to an earlier argument: if the juries are not swung by that, then it’s fairly obvious that there will be problems in Tel Aviv when the bells and whistles are stripped out.
Norway are among friends in the more western leaning semi-final and if I was deciding the running order, I would let them close the show which may aid their qualification chances. Once in the final, I doubt they would do much damage on the scoreboard. And if Norway aren’t given the semi-final pimp slot, I would worry about which songs follow and potentially divert votes away from them.