Likely Televote Appeal
Likely Jury Appeal
Cohesiveness of Package
It lacks the sort of build or explosive climax of a typical Eurovision contender.
The Belgium song has just dropped and it’s better than I expected from broadcaster, RTBF. They played to Blanche’s strengths with City Lights and have given us a London Grammar/Lorde influenced track for Eurovision.
The market has reacted quickly and installed Belgium as the second favourite, which is quite remarkable for an understated, alternative song that remains fairly constant throughout. I love it from a personal perspective, but it lacks the sort of build and explosive climax of a typical Eurovision contender, hence why I’m perplexed by the Betfair price. I have had to oppose Belgium at sub-8/1 for the simple reason that Loic Nottet was 40/1 in 2015 with a much more dynamic song.
The videos that exist of Blanche, or Ellie Delvaux, which is her real name, show an inexperienced performer. OK, one doesn’t need to dance around to City Lights, but as with many Voice and X Factor alumni, there’s a lack of natural stage craft. And again, given a natural performer like Loic Nottet was 40/1 in 2015, why has Blanche gone second favourite in a Eurovision lineup packed with female ballads?
Blanche is in the right, western-leaning semi-final to stand out, but can she win the semi, thus ensuring she gets a favourable draw in the grand final? I can think of at least several songs with greater voting power that could end up ahead of her. I think Belgium’s hope is if they have a great stage show and confound everyone like the Common Linnets did in 2014. Only then will Belgium be worthy of today’s odds.
Shining bright, or on a road to nowhere?