Likely Televote Appeal
Likely Jury Appeal
Cohesiveness of Package
Short of Numbers
The anonymity of Ireland's song is the big danger and Molly needs to use March and April to develop the visual package of Playing With Numbers.
Ireland’s Late Show has once again hosted the Eurosong format, but thankfully, without the ‘odious little man’ controversy. What was a surprise was market leader, Nikki Kavanagh turning up without her voice.
The eventual winner, determined 50/50 by televote and jury, was Molly Sterling with the song, Playing With Numbers.
If there’s one thing Ireland needed, it was a more credible package to send to Eurovision, having served up a melange of cheap, banal b-sides over the last few years. Much like the UK did with Molly last year, the Emerald Isle can use their Molly to hit the reset button and draw a line under the last few years.
Playing With Numbers is no Playing With Fire: it won’t inspire a sudden burst of foot-tapping or wake elderly relatives from their slumber. However, it will ensure Ireland is looked upon in a more favourable light by the juries.
On the other hand, the problem for Ireland lies in its anonymity compared to the other ballads selected so far, or those expected to be selected in Norway and maybe Sweden if Mans loses out to Jon Henrik Fjallgren. Cyprus plays the innocent boy card, Iceland goes all Frozen, Malta hits some powerful notes, Switzerland is stylish and Latvia steamrollers all of those aforementioned nations. If Norway send A Monster Like Me, Mørland & Debrah stand to own the simple, anonymous ballad identity with what promises to be a classy affair.
Those assuming a generous points haul from the likes of the UK and Sweden should check the numbers. You have to go back to Lipstick to see the UK award at least 10-points to Ireland in the semi-finals. In 2014, 5-points were awarded by the UK, and in 2013, 6-points. Sweden only awarded 3-points in 2013’s semi-final. Again, one has to go back to Lipstick to witness big points. The anonymity of Ireland’s song is the big danger and Molly needs to use March and April to develop the visual package of Playing With Numbers.
If Ireland qualify, I doubt we’ll be seeing them on the left-hand-side of the scoreboard.
Did Ireland make the right choice?
- Qualification History
- Final Performance
Highest semi-final score: 92 (2012: Jedward – Waterline)
Lowest semi-final score: 22 (2008: Dustin the Turkey – Irelande Douze Pointe)
Average semi-final finishing position: 10th
Average semi-final score (since 2008): 56 points
Highest score (since 2004): 119 (2011 – Jedward – Lipstick)
Lowest score (since 2004): 5 (2013 – Ryan Dolan – Only Love Survives)
Average final position: 19th
Average final score: 43 points
United Kingdom – 6.6
Sweden – 5.7
Switzerland – 4.9
Denmark – 4.9
Austria – 4.6
Norway – 4.3
Belgium – 4.1