Last updated 8th May
A controversial list of qualifiers I think you will agree and mostly based on info I’ve gleaned from people affiliated with the many delegations.
I could easily swap Slovenia/Belarus and Malta, but I think Malta’s danger comes from the explosive impact of Switzerland and much improved Slovenian entry. Belarus has a simple hook that people can latch on to. Plus, TEO is housewife catnip.
Israel is fanwank. It’s still a respectable and well performed song, but I fear the other upbeat entries divert too much support. Plus, it’s worth bearing in mind that Israel’s national broadcaster will close this year resulting in their withdrawal from the contest. Laying Israel to qualify will be my main play tonight, and with a healthy outright book, I can afford to take it on. Please only bet what you can afford to lose!
Another play is laying Romania in the top-3 market. Their staging is laughably bad, so I think Greece, Norway and Switzerland/Austria will battle for top-3.
Finland might be worth laying if their lead singer, Topi fails to engage the camera.
Lastly, and on the subject of the final outright market, I hope you are all monitoring i-tunes and watching Netherlands storm Europe. If you’ve not already backed a Dutch win, I suggest you get them on side fast! Amsterdam/Rotterdam 2015 is looking more likely by the day. The running order for the final will be published by 3am tomorrow morning.
Please post your new predictions below. Good luck!