Likely Televote Appeal
Likely Jury Appeal
Historical Support Strength
To Russia With Love
Austria should attract support from the UK and Ireland with additional support from the more liberalised western-leaning nations.
With just Russia left to present their 2014 entry, Austria became the penultimate nation to reveal their song for Copenhagen.
Chonchita Wurst was internally selected back in September, but in Rise Like a Phoenix, he has given us a song worth waiting for.
As as stand alone song, Rise Like a Phoenix is highly competent with oodles of character and classy musical accents. If Azerbaijan were to enter this Bond-influenced song, they would have a damn good chance of winning!
The problem is that Austria have given the song to a polarising singer. I salute Austria’s liberal stance, but in making such a bold and brave choice, they’ve clearly reconciled the fact they won’t be winning this year. Moreover, in appointing such an attention grabbing artist, there is a danger that his appearance outlives the song in viewers’ memories.
Luckily for Austria, they were drawn into semi-final two, rather than the more conservative first semi-final. Austria should attract support from the UK and Ireland with additional support from the more liberalised western-leaning nations. Given that semi-final two has one less participant and isn’t as hotly contested as the first semi-final, the qualifying margin should be fairly low. It’s conceivable that a score in the late 40s might achieve qualification. Austria’s average is 27 points!
Last year, Natalia Kelly managed 27 points with an unexceptional song from first in the running order. A year before, Trackshitterz were awarded just 8 points from a much later slot. The question is: where does Conchita fit in that that range? Will Austria attract more points than last year, or will Conchita’s image overpower her song and score lower?
Where do you think Austria will finish?
- Qualification History
- Final Performance
Highest semi-final score (since 2004): 69 (2011: Nadine Beiler – The Secret Is Love)
Lowest semi-final score (since 2004): 4 (2007: Eric Papilaya – Get a Life – Get Alive)
Average semi-final finishing position: 17th
Average semi-final score: 27 points
Highest score (since 2004): 64 (2011: Nadine Beiler – The Secret Is Love)
Lowest score (since 2004): 4 (2004: Tie Break – Du bist)
Average final position: 19th
Average final score: 36 points
Bulgaria – 3.8
Bosnia & Herzegovina – 3.2
Turkey – 2.7
Slovenia – 2.7
United Kingdom – 2.6
Greece – 2.5
Denmark – 2.3