Likely Televote Appeal
Likely Jury Appeal
Historical Support Strength
Start a Fire never builds into the blockbuster song we all expected given Azerbaijan’s experience in the contest. Instead, it's a disappointing box office flop.
Azerbaijan have presented their 2014 song having previously selected Dilara Kazimova from the show, Böyük Səhnə.
Welcome to When the Music Dies (v1.2)
I guess the only similarities are the inclusion of the Balaban (Duduk if you’re from Armenia), so Start a Fire is totally different beast to contend with.
However, unlike the powerful and rousing When the Music Dies, Dilara’s entry is a slow burning ballad, so the main question is; can it compete against the more instant songs in this year’s contest?
This year’s Eurovision isn’t exactly teeming with ballads, so there are opportunities for a nation to stand out with a capable song and consummate vocal performance. Azerbaijan will certainly deliver on the vocal front, but in terms of the melody, it’s all a bit low key.
The arrangement is nicely crafted and has cinematic qualities; however it never builds into the blockbuster song we all expected given Azerbaijan’s experience in the contest. Instead, Start a Fire is a disappointing box office flop.
I can’t quite believe the writers failed to add a drum beat and follow the R&B path of Drip Drop, which to me seems to most natural course in the second half of the song. Had they considered this, Baku 2015 might have seemed more feasible.
If Cyprus or Bosnia Herzegovina sent Start a Fire, we would all be considering it a qualifier, but subsequent final flop. The trouble is, Azerbaijan are in Eurovision’s mile-high club when it comes to voting power and their televote, whether genuine or not, should be pretty high. With a faultless vocal performance to boot, it would be somewhat foolish to discount Azerbaijan loitering in the single-digit places in May.
As happens every year, Azerbaijan should drift out to 30+, but as soon as their stage presentation is unveiled, I anticipate their price to shorten once again.
Where do you think Azerbaijan will finish this year?