Likely Televote Appeal
Likely Jury Appeal
Historical Support Strength
Norway have delivered the predicted result and sent the only song capable of delivering a respectable result in Copenhagen. Ladies and gentlemen, pray silence for Carl Espen’s Silent Storm!
If Carl Espen’s performance in the MGP final told us one thing, it was that Eurovision will finally escape the clutches of the Nordic bloc.
I remember when I first heard Silent Storm, it was the first time this year I had listened to a song that moved me enough to reach into my pocket and latch onto the 16/1 odds for Carl to win MGP.
Over a month later, the storm appears to have blown over as I found it remarkable how indifferent I was to Carl’s performance at the final. It appears I wasn’t in the minority, as upon Carl being crowned the MGP champion, Norway’s odds began to lengthen. At the time of writing, Norway is available at 6/1, which is still too low.
Silent Storm is a beautifully written song, and despite the lack any significant climax, Carl Espen’s silky smooth vocal and vulnerable demeanour hooks you from start to finish. Moreover, Carl’s average-guy appearance makes his performance more believable.
My main concern for Copenhagen is that Carl looked as if he was on the verge of a heart attack during both of his live performances, which doesn’t bode well for the pressure cooker atmosphere of Eurovision’s jury rehearsal and subsequent live final broadcast to 170-million global viewers. He seemed to snatch at a few notes and lose control of his breathing at times, so Norway are ones to keep an eye on for jury rehearsal.
As Rob at EntertainmentOdds would suggest, Carl needs to give good camera during this song. He has improved since his semi-final performance, but I would like to see more confidence in his expressions, rather than the blank and vacant looks we’re current getting.
The Norwegian staging is perfect for the song. If Copenhagen features LCD screens, I expect stormy clouds that eventually clear to reveal sunny blue skies. Nevertheless, it’s Carl, rather than the staging, that will make or break Norway’s 2014 result.
Will Norway threaten the top of the scoreboard?
- Qualification History
- Final Performance
Highest semi-final score: 201 (2009: Alexander Rybak – Fairytale)
Lowest semi-final score: 30 (2011: Stella Mwangi – Haba Haba)
Average semi-final finishing position: 8th (8.4)
Average semi-final score: 102 points
Highest score (since 2004): 387 (2009: Alexander Rybak – Fairytale)
Lowest score (since 2004): 3 (2004: Knut Anders Sørum – High)
Average final position: 11th
Average final score: 120 points
Iceland – 5.8
Latvia – 5.3
Sweden – 5.1
San Marino – 8.6
Estonia – 5.0
Denmark – 4.6
Azerbaijan – 4.4
San Marino – 4.3
Poland – 4.3
Armenia – 4.2
Ukraine – 4.1