Likely Televote Appeal
Likely Jury Appeal
Historical Support Strength
With the strength of Denmark’s fun kiddie-pop and Norway’s moving ballad, is there room for Sanna’s rather ordinary ballad in the reckoning for top-10?
Sanna Nielsen has won Melodifestivalen with her song Undo and will represent last year’s hosts in Copenhagen.
Before the Melodifestivalen heats got underway, there were several names I disclosed to close punter colleagues. The most prominent post-contest names were Ellen Benediktson, Outtrigger, Ace Wilder and Sanna Nielsen.
When I first heard Sanna’s one minute clip, I admitted to being slightly underwhelmed, but given her popularity, Sanna was a cert for the final. With Helena Paparizou in the same heat, most commentators assumed Yohio would fall short and suffer the indignity of going to andra chansen, but it was the former Eurovision winner that was humiliated. In my opinion, either Christer Björkman made a gross error of judgement, or he played a blinder depending on whether you thought Helena’s song was stronger than Sanna’s.
I am of the persuasion that it was Helena’s Survivor that possessed the greatest potential as a Eurovision entry, but after much toing and froing on the leader board, it was Sanna’s Undo that took the chequered flag with Ace Wilders Busy Doin’ Nothin’ a close second.
As a pop-ballad, Undo is a gripping three minutes with some wonderful haunting moments, but as a Eurovision entry, it’s a bit formulaic and passé. Furthermore, the yodeled refrain is somewhat hard to accept on first listen, which will surely put people off outside of Sanna’s ardent Swedish fan base?
As has rightly been pointed out in the comments section already, Undo is a Eurovision-ballad-by-numbers similar to Georgia’s Waterfall – also written by a Swede. For those with similar memory lapses as me, Georgia finished 15th last year.
Georgia is thought to be a strong Eurovision nation, but when you dig deeper, it’s apparent that Georgia tend to do well when their big Bloc allies send duff songs. The same pattern is repeated in the Nordic bloc.
The Nordic nations have enjoyed a strong record of late, but it amazes how often the markets overrate their collective chances. One has to go all the way back to 2003 to witness three Nordic nations in the top-10. Furthermore, it’s quite rare to witness two nations from the Nordic block in the top-5, which has only happened twice in recent history and with exceptionally strong songs.
The debate is open to you…
Where will Sweden finish in Copenhagen?
- Qualification History
- Final Performance
Highest semi-final score: 214 (2006: Carola – Invincible)
Lowest semi-final score: 54 (2008: Charlotte Perrelli – Hero)
Average semi-final finishing position: 5th
Average semi-final score: 128 points
Highest score (since 2004): 372 (2012: Loreen – Euphoria)
Lowest score (since 2004): 30 (2005: Martin Stenmarck – Las Vegas)
Average final position: 11th
Average final score: 124 points
Denmark – 8.2
Norway – 7.4
Estonia – 6.9
Iceland – 6.0
Finland – 5.3
United Kingdom – 4.5
Malta – 4.2
Slovenia – 4.1