With less than 24 hours to go until the Eurovision 2013 final, it’s time to dissect each song and present the best 26 bets out there. Make sure you have an account with all of the bookmakers, that way you can take advantage of some tasty free bets and lock in the best Eurovision odds and tips. Click here the relevant bookie links to signup and place bets.
So here goes…
France: – Amandine Bourgeous – L’Enfer Et Moi
Being first in the running order is no easy task, especially when you’re being advised to rest your voice. Amandine’s voice was much improved during the jury rehearsal, yet the French singer may still fail to score the points she needs so badly. I don’t think last place is on the cards, though I do believe 17th-20th to be an accurate range after singing from 1st. Of course, if her vocals return to their finest for the final, she could easily improve on that placing.
BEST BET: France vs Spain – 2.88 @ SportingBet
Lithuania: Andrius Pojarvis – Something
We seriously underestimated Andrius’ sex appeal, even though we had him tipped as a molester. The Lithuanian Ian Curtis has come of age and I can now see this performing better than expected. C’mon, it has to! How else did it get out of it’s semi-final. the Lithuanian representative is certainly more memorable than his fellow Baltic challenger from Estonia!
Moldova: Aliona Moon – O’Mie
I don’t think spitting the dummy over SVT’s stage management skills was an ideal way to increase one’s chances of a favourable draw. Moldova may have had their wrist slapped, yet all is not lost. In a field of dirge, Aliona’s dress trick will at least remain memorable.
Finland: Krista Siegrids – Marry Me
Say what you like about the kiss, Marry Me is an electrifying 3 minutes of imaginative choreography and punchy lyrics. Finland will go big in the arena, in addition to western-leaning nations. The message will chime with all recently engaged/married couples too.
Spain: El Sueño de Morfeo – Contigo Hasta el Final
Despite hopes for a Cranberrys-on-Acid style of song from ESDM, we were left with a mundane composition lacking sufficient vitamins to challenge for a respectable position. Spain have form for late-twenty-finishes, so one can’t discount last place!
Belgium: Roberto Bellarosa – Love Kills
Following his qualification, Roberto seems filled with confidence and now makes even more gestures to the camera; in addition to throwing in a few smiles along the way. Love Kills won’t be scoring high marks and the bird-mating-choreography does lesson its impact.
Estonia: Birgit – Et uus Saaks Alguse
Birgit was another surprise qualifier from semi-final 1 and there’s a feeling it was heavily assisted by the juries. Singing from 7th in the running order makes Et uus Saaks Alguse one of the more forgettable ballad packages. In fact, there’s only 10 seconds of Birgit’s song that sounds relevant or memorable.
Belarus: Alyona Lanskaya – Solayoh
Solayoh came across as being rather flat during the jury rehearsal and it struggles to standout in the same manner as Finland. The muted brown and orange stage does little to liven up proceeding either. Belarus have a poor qualification record – and once qualified – they tend to bomb!
Malta: Gianluca Bezzina – Tomorrow
Gianluca continues to improve. Having suffered timing issues in rehearsals, it was reassuring to see him deliver his best performance in front of the juries. Nevertheless, I cannot see Tomorrow being a vote magnet. Since 2003, Malta have failed to qualify four times. In those years where qualification was attained, they finished 24th, 22nd and 21st.
BEST BET Malta vs Belgium 1.5 @ SportingBet
Russia: Dina Garipova – What If
Dina also saved her best for the juries. She was visibly nervous during the opening verse, yet recovered strongly and also found time to smile. Russia have five top-10 finishes to their name over the last decade, though in a field of strong ballads, will Russia just miss out on the top-10?
Germany: Cascada – Glorious
The first time Natalie rehearsed, the watching press were astounded at how strong a contender Germany were. Having being mired in plagiarism claims, Glorious was actually sounding very different to last year’s winner. Since then, Natalie has struggled to hit the notes, though yesterday she delivered a competent performance. In short, she didn’t do any damage. Cascada is expected to perform stronger in the televote.
Armenia: Gor Sujyan – Lonely Planet
Lonely Planet sounds like a charity hit. I have previously compared to Michael Jackson’s We Are The World, so we shouldn’t hold any expectations for a high finish for what is a dreadfully dull rock song.
BEST BET Romania vs Armenia @ SportingBet – 2.38
The Netherlands: Anouk – Birds
Birds is this year’s Follia d’amore or Suus; a song that will perform tremendously well on the jury tally and should lock in a certain top-10 finish. A welcome return to form for the Dutch!
Romania: Cezar – It’s My Life
Achieving qualification was the peak of Cezar’s powers with his song, It’s my Life! I am anticipating a low finish despite the song’s distinctive qualities. Just because it’s Romania doesn’t mean they will secure a top-10 finish. In fact, over the last five years, Romania have achieved just one top-10 finish. Novelty is never a genre to take on, especially in the final when jurors will tend to favour more traditional and commercially viable songs.
BEST BET – None Advised.
United Kingdom: Bonnie Tyler – Believe in Me
Bonnie wasn’t at her best during last night’s jury rehearsal and appeared to lose he composure during the opening and finale. Having previous suggested that Bonnie could achieve a 13th-17th placed finish, I will now suggest 15th-20th. The running order and Bonnie’s enduring popularity should see her clear the bottom five… I hope!
Sweden: Robin Stjernerg – You
You is an excellent, modern pop song. However, it’s a shame Robin’s stage show was given the hatchet-job by SVT who have made it blatently clear the don’t wish to win again. Robin was visibly deflated in yesterday’s press conference and his body language suggested he was merely going through the motions for show boss, Christer (Fister) Björkman!
Hungary: ByeAlex – Kedvesem
There appears to be an underground following for Kedvesem. It’s down tempo trip-hop genre is addictive, though it’s a shame Alex doesn’t sell it better on screen. There is a sense that Kedvesem could surprise given its bright staging and niche sound.
Denmark: Emmelie de Forest – Only Teardrops
Reports from inside the Danish camp are that they only gave it 90% during the jury rehearsal. Despite that, Denmark rightly remain the favourites when you compare it against other songs and their TV impression. Everything about the Danish stage production screams winner, especially when the ticker-tape and golden sparks shower burst into life. The value betting angle would be to oppose the Danish win or bet in play, when odds will likely drift before being backed in.
Iceland: Eythor Ingi Gunnlaugsson- Ég á líf
There are growing expectations in the press center suggesting Iceland as a potential long-odds springer. Eythor’s performance is wonderfully intimate, yet epic in equal measure. It has the feeling of Yohanna from 2009; a beautifully delivered ballad that builds into a stunning climax. Yohanna’s ballad was in English though. I’m expecting a strong jury score for Eythor, as his performance was equal to, if not better than Anouk’s.
Azerbaijan: Farid Mammadov – Hold Me
With a very polished stage show, Azerbaijan should be pushing for a high top-10 or possible placed finish. There have been concerns regarding Farid’s vocal and last night those concerns resurfaced. If Azerbaijan are victorious, it’ll be a repeat of their by default win in 2011. Nevertheless, in 2011, Azerbaijan came second in the jury vote. This year I’m expecting a lower jury points tally. What’s more, being sandwiched between the better Icelandic and more exciting Greek entry will add to Azerbaijan’s woes.
Greece: Koza Mostra – Alcohol is Free
The Koza Mostra boys, assisted by Agathon Iakovidis, put a spanner in the works being this late in the running order. Their lively party song will resonate across most parts of Europe, especially those people holding Eurovision parties. One has to consider the competition for Balkan votes, as there’s no Bosnia, Serbia, Montenegro, Croatia, Slovenia, Slovakia or Bulgaria, which leaves Greece in an extremely strong position being the default douze-point contender from that bloc. The vocals are strong too, so what can the juries mark them down for?
Ukraine: Zlata Ognevich – Gravity
Cue bells and whistles… or a 7ft 8″ giant! It’s Ukraine! The consensus is that Zlata Ognevich will be very strong from this running order slot. The unconventional musical arrangement doesn’t seem to be putting people off either, though it will be interesting to see how the juries rank the song. My guess is that fans will love it and ultimately buy into the gimmicks while falling for the uplifting, punchy Disney song. Don’t we all love Disney songs?
BEST BET Ukraine Top Eastern Europe – 3.0 @ SportingBet
Italy: Marco Mengoni – L’Essenziale
Question: What is Marco on? Throughout the last 10 days, Marco has looked vacant and uninterested. There were rumours he was ill, yet he managed to attend a number of social engagements. At last night’s jury rehearsal, Marco delivered his worst performance to date. He strangely kept grabbing his crotch, as if he was desperate for the toilet. He also performed a number of messy, freestyle vocal flips that will almost certainly kill off any hopes of a top-10 finish. A very weird performance!
Norway: Margaret Berger – I Feed You my Love
Margaret delivered last night, yet there are still nagging doubts surrounding I Feed You my Love. Is it too dark and edgy for mainstream Europe? When you compare i-tunes charts, Denmark is outperforming Norway in nearly every country.
Georgia: Sophie & Nodi – Waterfall
Too saccharine Too shouty? Too cheesy? These are all valid questions that may end Georgia’s hopes of victory. There still certainly be some bloc love for this strong ballad, yet I believe Ukraine to be the more televoter-friendly package.
Ireland: Ryan Dolan – Only Love Survives
The Irish are once again bless with a lucky draw, though Ryan did little to advance his cause with jurors. During the opening verse, Ryan was slightly off-key. I doubt Ryan will get a top-10 finish, as Cascada and Finland are the more likely contenders from the upbeat genre.
BEST BET Ireland Finishing Position 16th-20th @ SportingBet